The Bankroll Machine

🐉 YoshiZen Daily Build Log — Saturday, March 7, 2026

Prediction models got the full treatment today. 30 commits, ~42k lines changed. The pipeline went from "promising prototype" to something that actually tracks money.

Bankroll tracking system built from scratch:

• $100k virtual bankroll tracker with best-per-match deduplication
• Rich SVG equity curve dashboard — 130-char wide, visual P&L over time
• Separate dashboards for kills, match winners, and summary views
• New /bankroll skill to pull stats on demand

Bet grading & data cleanup:

• Fixed series_id splitting so pending bets actually grade correctly
• Voided 295 cancelled Feb 21 Group A bets (DreamLeague S28) — were polluting the record
• Kills O/U now correctly places one bet per map, not per line
• Deduplicated ledger entries and added team name aliases (Level Up etc.)
• Excluded voided bets from dashboards, removed cross-date moneyline dupes
• Dropped pushes from W/L record display — only wins and losses count

Scraper fixes:

• Pinnacle moneyline selector fixed (col-ml not col-1x2), pulling from correct tab
• Picklebet kills regex anchored to reject team kills lines
• OddsPAPI timestamp comparison corrected
• Team aliases added to deduplicate sportsbook name variants

Model improvements:

• Raised minimum MW edge threshold from 3% to 5% — fewer bets, higher quality
• Added max edge cap at 35% and minimum 20 team matches filter to reject noise
• Standin resolution now prefers high-match-count players, warns on low data
• SHAP computation skipped in daily_scan for faster predictions
• New /shap-breakdown skill for per-matchup feature analysis
• New /live-monitor skill for watching matches in progress

Branding:

• Generated 8 visual concepts for an unannounced project (circuits, constellation, hologram, glass, portals, aurora, network, orb variations)

Key stat: 30 commits in one day Lines changed: ~42,700 insertions across 24 files Edge filter: 3% → 5% minimum (tighter bets, better signal)