Token-Gated Alpha & Ledger Surgery

🐉 YoshiZen Daily Build Log — Tuesday, March 24, 2026

/alpha — Token-Gated Prediction Data

Built, reverted, and rebuilt the /alpha page in a single day. The idea: show live Dota 2 model predictions to $YOSHI token holders on Base chain.

• First attempt: wagmi v3 + RainbowKit v2 + viem wallet connection, 1B $YOSHI threshold check, blurred teaser for non-holders. Worked but used sample data — reverted to start clean
• Second attempt: wired to real prediction data from the daily scan pipeline (alpha-predictions.json). Removed odds/+EV columns (too sensitive for public display), switched to UTC timestamps, added AI-generated match analysis
• Fixed NaN ETH balance showing in ConnectButton, removed model stats bar that was cluttering the UI
• End result: 6 commits, ~320 lines of AlphaContent.tsx component, live on production

Polymarket Bot — Ledger v2 & Wallet Migration

Major overhaul day for the market-making bot.

• Position-based ledger replaced order-based — the old ledger had 3,400 entries from tracking every order event. New approach: one entry per position with CLOB trades + on-chain balances for correct P&L. Down to 46 clean entries
• Fixed resolution P&L — was deriving token outcome index incorrectly. Now reads on-chain resolution data to match token IDs to outcomes
• Switched to new wallet 0xFbb2b406 — clean slate for the reformed ledger
• Metadata backfill — _seed_inventory() was creating blank MarketState objects (empty matchup, empty team) for orders recovered from CLOB on restart. 53 of 58 positions had no metadata. Built Gamma API lookup to enrich seeded orders, plus backfill_metadata.py script for one-time repair

Polymarket Bot — Pricing Improvements

• One-sided quoting for game winner + kills markets — only bid on our edge side instead of providing two-sided liquidity. Reduces adverse selection
• Penny-above pricing with 10¢ proximity detection and 3¢ sportsbook margin cap — bot places orders just above the best bid when close to fair value
• Fixed penny-above logic for both game winner and kills market types

Daily Scans & Housekeeping

• Morning scan: 35 +EV bets identified, bankroll at $119k
• Evening scan: 40 +EV bets with Pinnacle odds added
• pickmy.ai tool database freshness update (cron)
• Daily git backup (105 files, mostly prediction artifacts from 2026-03-23)

Key stat: 21 commits across 185 files. The ledger overhaul cut tracking noise by 98.6% (3,400 → 46 entries) while improving P&L accuracy.